High Probability Bets: How to Find Them and Win More in 2025

Ever wonder why some bettors seem to win all the time? The secret isn’t magic – it’s hunting for high probability bets. These are wagers where the odds tilt heavily in your favour, and with the right eye, you can spot them on any sportsbook, including EasyBet.

First off, forget the hype around "sure‑thing" parlays. A high probability bet is simply a single market where the implied chance of winning is higher than the market suggests. Think of it like buying a cheap car that runs like a dream – low risk, steady payoff.

Where to Look for High Probability Opportunities

1. Popular Leagues, Low‑Risk Markets – Big football leagues, top‑tier tennis, and major horse races have a lot of data behind them. Betting on a heavy favourite in the first half, or a double‑chance (home or draw) often carries an implied win chance above 70%.

2. Live Betting Trends – In‑play action can reveal gaps. If a team dominates the first 10 minutes, the odds on the next goal or a next‑set‑point often stay generous. Jump in quickly, lock a high‑probability win, and cash out before the market readjusts.

3. Season‑Long Props – Over/under totals for a season (e.g., total goals for a striker) are easier to predict when you have a clear trend. If a player is on a 10‑game scoring streak, the “over” line usually offers a high probability edge.

Simple Strategies to Maximise Your Edge

Start with the Kelly Criterion. It tells you how much of your bankroll to stake based on the edge you think you have. If you believe a bet has a 75% chance of winning at odds of 1.5, Kelly suggests a modest stake – enough to grow your bankroll without blowing it.

Next, use unit sizing. Keep each bet to 1–2% of your total bankroll for high‑probability selections. This protects you from the occasional upset that will happen even with a 70% chance.

Don’t forget the value check. Compare the bookmaker’s implied probability (1 / odds) to your own estimate. If the market says a 2/1 favourite has a 45% chance but you think it’s 55%, that’s value.

Lastly, track your results. A simple spreadsheet with columns for event, odds, stake, and outcome will show whether your high probability approach truly works. Adjust as you go.

On EasyBet, look for the “high‑odds” filter under the football or horse racing sections. The platform also highlights “best odds” on popular matches – a quick way to spot where the house may have mis‑priced a heavy favourite.

Remember, no bet is 100% safe. Even a 90% chance can lose on a rainy day. The goal is to keep your losses tiny and your wins frequent. By focusing on markets with clear data, using proper stake sizing, and constantly checking for value, you’ll turn high probability betting from a gamble into a reliable income stream.

Ready to try? Pick a match you already follow, find the favourite, calculate the implied probability, and place a small stake. Track it, learn from the outcome, and repeat. That’s the essence of high probability betting – simple, data‑driven, and repeatable.